Wednesday, June 28, 2023

Isabel Allende’s latest novel “The wind knows my name”

                    Isabel Allende’s latest novel “The wind knows my name”
 
This novel is about Anita, a girl child from El Salvador and Samuel, a Jewish boy from Austria who are orphaned because of the violence perpetrated by Mara gangs and Nazi thugs. The Salvadorean kid suffers further physical and emotional trauma in the American border security system of separating the children from their parents who try to enter US illegally. 



Anita’s family has a precarious and dangerous life in a slum in El Salvador where rival criminal gangs fight and cause misery to the residents. Anita’s mother is harassed by a security guard involved in human trafficking. She escapes taking  Anita with her. She tries to enter US through the Mexican border. The US authorities catch her and separate the mother and daughter. They put the daughter in a detention centre and deport the mother to Mexico. The mother is eventually killed by the security guard. Anita suffers abuse and ill-treatment by the guards and the private contractors who run the detention centres. She is rescued by Selena, a volunteer working with such separated kids. Anita gets asylum to stay in US.
 
Anita is sent to her aunt Leticia, working as house keeper in a large mansion in San Francisco. Leticia was born in a remote Salvadorian village called as El Mozote.  When she falls sick in the village, her father takes her to the hospital in the city. When he returns, his family and the other villagers have been massacred brutally by the military which wanted to teach a lesson to the indigenous people for their alleged sympathies  to the leftist guerilla fighters. He then decides to leave the country and tries to enter US illegally carrying his daughter on his back. He is caught and deported to Mexico while Leticia is lucky to get asylum. She finds work as a house keeper in the San Francisco mansion.
 
Samuel’s parents in Austria are sent to their death in concentration camps by the Nazis. However, they let the boy go to England, arranged by a charity organization along with other kids separated from their parents. The boy goes through series of foster homes and ultimately ends up with a caring family. He studies music and goes to US to join the San Francisco orchestra. The hippie daughter of a rich family marries him but later she divorces and dies leaving a large house for Samuel. His house keeper Leticia is the aunt of Anita. Samuel who has suffered as an orphan is moved by the story of Anita, lets her stay in his house and teaches her music.
 
Isabel Allende, the author has fictionalized the real life tragedies suffered by Jews under Nazis and the sufferings of the indigenous people in El Salvador during the civil war in the eighties during the Reagan era. El Mozote massacre happened actually in December 1981. Allende rightly blames the US which supported the military dictatorship in El Salvador and trained their security forces to fight ruthlessly against leftists. 
 
The US is responsible, to a large extent, for the civil wars in Central America. To protect and promote the commercial interests of the American corporations in the region, the US administration had converted the Central American countries as ‘banana republics’ by undermining democracies and encouraging and installing right wing military dictatorships. In 1954, CIA overthrew the democratically elected leftist government of Arbenz in Guatemala and installed pro-US military dictatorship. The immediate reason for the coup was the Guatemalan government’s land reforms which affected the interests of United Fruit Company, the single largest land owner in Guatemala and which had over three million acres of land in Central America. Incidentally, Che Guavara got his anti-imperialistic revolutionary inspiration after seeing personally the destruction of the Guatemalan democracy by the US. Using the pretext of anticommunism, the US had forced the governments and security agencies of Central America to persecute leftist parties and liberals. When Sandinistas came to power in 1979 after defeating the US-supported Somoza dictatorship, the Reagan administration turned its guns against Nicaragua and involved the other Central American countries too in the dirty and illegal “ Contra War” against the Sandinista government. The US sent arms, trained local militias and paramilitary death squads and waged an all-out war to hurt Nicaragua and tried to bring about regime change.  These atrocities of US destabilized Central America causing deaths of hundreds of thousands of innocent people.
 
During the civil war, over a million people had fled to US to escape the violence. Many of them went to Los Angeles. Unable to fit in the social milieu, the poor and marginalised illegal immigrant youth joined the criminal gangs in LA. The Reagan administration denied refugee status to these Central American immigrants, who were forced into clandestine lives. In the nineties, the US authorities cracked down on the gangs and deported thousands of the gang members to Central America. But many of the deported, who were born or brought up in US, found it difficult to adjust in Central America and continued with their LA gang culture. They regrouped themselves locally with guns smuggled from US and scaled up their crimes, taking advantage of the weak law enforcement and justice system of these countries.
 
El Salvador, Honduras and Guatemala in Central America have the highest homicide rates in the world caused by gangs such as Maras and Barrio-18, who originated from Los Angeles. The rivalry between these two became so violent at one stage in 2012, the government of El Salvador intervened and brokered a ceasefire between the rival gangs. In order to bring the two sides to the negotiating table, the government relaxed conditions in the prisons in which the members of the two gangs were held. Following this peace deal, the murder rate had dropped immediately. But this truce broke down in 2014 and crime has gone up again.  Earlier this month about 50 women prisoners were killed in the fight between female gangsters in a prison in Honduras. 
 
The Central American  gangsters and Mexican cartels use guns illegally trafficked from the US. But the US, which complains about trafficking of drugs from Latin America, does not do anything to stop the trafficking of weapons to Mexico and Central America. There are about 7000 gun shops in the US side of the 2000 mile border with Mexico. These are the sources of guns which kill hundreds of thousands of Latin Americans every year.
 
The flood of illegal immigrants from El Salvador as well as Guatemala and Honduras is the harvest US is reaping for sowing the seeds of destabilization and violence.   

Thursday, June 22, 2023

Colombian novel “Retrospective” by Juan Gabriel Vasquez

                    Colombian novel “Retrospective” by Juan Gabriel Vasquez
 
This is a novel about guerilla wars, revolutions, dictatorships, communism and ideological fanaticism with many heroes and villains in three continents. It starts with the Spanish civil war and goes on to cover the Trujillo dictatorship in Dominican Republic, Colombian guerilla wars, the Soviet communist outreach, the Chinese cultural revolution and the 1968 student protests in Paris. The Columbian guerilla war is the center-piece and Sergio Cabrera is the protagonist.
 

The wars, struggles and movements are woven into the story of the family of Sergio Cabrera, whose grandfather is a Spaniard who fights against the Fascism of Franco. He escapes to Dominican Republic but the Trujillo dictatorship is as bad as Franco’s. He moves on to Colombia where he settles down. The violence unleashed by the deadly conflict between the Colombian liberals and conservatives is as deadly as the Spanish civil war. Sergio’s father is attracted to communism and jumps at the opportunity to teach Spanish in China. After some years, he returns to Colombia and joins the EPL (Popular Liberation Army) the Maoist guerilla group. His wife from a rich and respected family helps the guerilla group secretly. Cabrera leaves his teenage son Sergio and daughter Marianella in China to continue their education in Beijing. They take fancy to Maoism and volunteer to work with peasants and factory workers and eventually undergo even military training with the Red Army. They are caught up in the cultural revolution but they are not discouraged by the atrocities committed during the cultural revolution. They return to Colombia and join as fighters in the Colombian jungles for the EPL guerilla group. Their day to day life in the jungles is marked by hardship, diseases and dangers. This is aggravated by the petty rivalries, jealousies and dictatorial decisions of the EPL commanders who mistreat and punish the cadres according to their whims. Ultimately, the two leave the guerilla group disappointed and disillusioned. Marianella gets married to a fellow guerrillero and settles down to a normal life. During his return to Bogota from Beijing, Sergio stops for some days in Paris and witnesses the student protests against the Vietnam war among other issues.  After leaving his guerrillero career, he studies film making in London and becomes a celebrated director of films in Colombia. He goes to Barcelona for a retrospective show of his films when he gets the news of death of his father in Colombia. During this time, Sergio looks back on the adventures, misadventures, sufferings and idealism of his family members.
 
In Beijing, Marianella, the teenager falls in love with Carl Crook, the son of David Crook  a British communist. He joins the fight for the International Brigade  against Fascism in Spain. There the Soviets recruit him as spy to report on the Trotskyites, which included George Orwell. Later they send him to Beijing on a spying mission. He settles in China as an English teacher and marries Isabel, the daughter of Canadian missionaries. Isabel is born and brought up in China. During the cultural revolution Crook is arrested and jailed for some years and eventually released. While the Chinese Communists welcome and encourage foreigners to learn and spread the Chinese model, they also cultivate a strong anti-foreigner sentiment among their people and cadres. The families of Cabrera and Crook are caught in this contradiction and the Crook family becomes  victims despite their fluency in Chinese, adaptation to Chinese culture and unswerving loyalty to Mao.
 
The author Vasquez has based his novel on the real life stories of the families of Sergio Cabrera and Peter Crook. He has interviewed Sergio Cabrera himself besides members of both families. He has quoted from their biographies and archives. While fictionalizing the actual stories, Vasquez has given vivid details and political and social comments on the resistance against Fascist Franco in Spain, the Colombian guerilla wars and the upheaval in China during the cultural revolution. He has brought out the emotional struggles and personal feelings of the guerrilleros and fanatic party cadres who are manipulated and controlled  by the ruthless guerilla commanders and communist leaders. 
 
Here are some examples of Vasquez’s vivid narration..
 
-The Red Guards consider the red colour  as their symbol and that of the Cultural Revolution. For them, red is the colour of progress. They argue,“the red of our flag symbolizes the blood of our heroes, don’t you? The blood of millions of comrades who gave their lives for the Republic. Think about what a revolutionary feels when he sees that someone else, in another country, has decided on a whim that the colour red, the colour for which we are ready to give our lives, should become an order to stop. And if we accept it, if we accept that red should be the signal for cars to stop, we would also have to accept that pedestrians should stop at red . . . at pedestrian crossing lights. And we are not just pedestrians, we are revolutionary  combatants! And we cannot accept foreign interference in the Revolution!”. So they change the traffic lights to red for ‘go’ and green for ‘stop’. 
 
-Marianella writes in her diary, “ Oh, great Chairman Mao! Your ideology has thrown a brilliant light on my heart. Oh, beloved Chairman Mao! You really are the reddest red sun of my heart!!!! I am determined to always obey your words! To take your great ideology to Colombia. To propagate it, because it is the greatest truth, our Colombian people will never turn away from it!!! Chairman Mao, I love you most! I can do without my father and mother, but I cannot do without your great ideology!”.
 
-Colombia was sinking in a sea of blood. The guerrillas were killing, the paramilitaries were killing and the army was killing. When the 1992 peace negotiations in Mexico failed, a guerrilla leader stood up from the table and said,  “We’ll see you after another ten thousand deaths.” 
 
“Retrospective” is the fourth novel of Colombian Juan Gabriel Vasquez, I have read after " The Informers", "The secret history of Costa Guna" and “ The sound of things falling”. 
 
The real life Sergio Cabrera is a successful film maker after quitting from EPL. He was also an elected member of the Colombian Congress. He has made some remarkable films on the guerilla wars and social issues of Colombia. I enjoyed seeing one of his films “ Golpe de Estadio” in which the guerilleros and the police forces agree to a few hours of ceasefire in order to watch a football game between Argentina and Colombia. 
 
Sergio is now the Colombian ambassador to China since 2022, appointed by President Gustavo Petro, another ex-guerrillero. 
 
  
 

Wednesday, June 07, 2023

India’s exports to Latin America increase by an impressive 19% in 2022-23

 India’s exports to Latin America increase by an impressive 19% in 2022-23

India’s exports to Latin America reached a record high of 22.41 billion dollars in 2022-23 (April-March), according to the Commerce Ministry of India.  The exports have increased by an impressive 19% from 18.89 billion dollars in 2021-22, exceeding the 6.86% increase of India’s global exports.

There is more good news: 

India’s exports to some of the distant Latin American countries are more than the exports to neighboring countries or traditionally important trade partners. This is a trend of the last several years not just a one-year-wonder. Examples:

-India’s exports to Brazil (9.9 bn) are higher than to the traditional trade partners such as Japan (5.46 bn), France (7.6 bn), Italy (8.7 bn) and neighbors such as Thailand (5.7 bn), Nepal (8.01 bn) and Sri Lanka (5.11 bn)

-Exports to Mexico (5.2 bn) are more than the exports to Russia ( 3.15 bn), Canada (4.11 bn), Spain (4.66 bn) and Egypt (4.1 bn)

-Exports of 273 m to the remote Honduras are more than the exports of 220 m to nearby Cambodia. 

-Exports of 465 million dollars to the distant Guatemala are more than the exports of 437 m to Kazakhstan

-Exports of 1.45 billion to Colombia and 1.17 billion to Chile are also higher than the exports to some other neighbors and traditional trade partners.

 

Car exports

Car exports to Latin America were 2225 million dollars (up from 1793 m in 2021-22). This was one third of India’s global car exports of 6.68 bn dollars. Mexico was the second largest global market for Indian cars with 973 m.  Other major destinations: Chile 357 m and Peru 203 m, Colombia 110 m, Ecuador 97 m, Panama 75 m and Guatemala 50 m.

 

Motorcycles

Exports of motor cycles were 921 million dollars. This is 33 % of India’s global exports of 2.79 bn.

Colombia was the # 1 global market for Indian motorcycles with 308 million dollars

Other major destinations in the region wereMexico 195 m, Guatemala 89 m and Peru 45m. 

India is the second largest supplier of motorcycles to Latin America.

 

Pharmaceuticals

Pharma exports were 1.45 billion dollars.  

Major destination of India’s pharma exports:  Brazil 345 million dollars, Mexico 130 m, Chile 117 m, Venezuela 87 m, Colombia 75 m, Peru 67 m, Guatemala 54 m, Dominican Republic 53 m and Ecuador 34 m.

India ranked as #6 supplier of pharmaceuticals to the region. But India was # 1 supplier to Nicaragua, # 2supplier to Guatemala, # 3 for Honduras and # 4 for Chile.

 

Major exports

Petroleum Products   4.7 bn (up from 2.1 bn last year)

Vehicles     4.33 bn (increased from 3.84 billion dollars last year)

Chemicals  3.4 bn ( India is # 3 top supplier to Latin America)            

Machinery  2.73 bn                   

Pharma      1.45 bn  

Iron and steel  763

Aluminum products  662 m               

Textiles       630 m   

Rubber products 470 m            

Cotton.         431 m                

Plastics.         409 m               

           

Imports 

India’s imports from Latin America were 25.59 billion dollars, marginally lower than 25.62 bn 2021-22. Major suppliers were: Brazil 6.67 bn, Mexico 3.87 billion, Argentina 3.93 bn, Colombia 2.63 bn, Bolivia 2.55 bn, Peru 2.25 bn, Chile 1.44 bn, Ecuador 1.02 bn and Dom Republic 360 m, Panama 283 m and Venezuela 253 m

 

Main import items: 

 

Crude oil  7.6 billion dollars

Gold.        6.6 bn  

Vegetable oil 5.7 bn 

Copper    1.87 bn 

Machinery  245 m

Wood        562 m

Chemicals 392 m

Iron and steel 321 m

Fruits& vegetables 210 m

 

Crude oil imports which reached a peak of around 15 billion dollars in 2013-14 has come down drastically due to US sanctions on Venezuela and the bounty of less expensive Russian crude.

 

Main sources of crude oil imports: Mexico 2.8 billion dollars, Brazil 1.9 bn, Colombia 1.8 bn, Ecuador 775 million and Venezuela 123 m. 

 

Venezuela used to be the major source of oil imports in the region for the last fifteen years. But the US sanctions have drastically cut down the Venezuelan supply from its peak of around 10 billion dollars in 2013-14

 

Gold import sourcing: Bolivia 2.54 bn, Peru 1.79 billion dollars, Brazil 744 m, Colombia 675 m, Dom Republic 272 m, Argentina 254 mMexico 163 m and Ecuador 128 m. The imports are  unrefined raw gold.

 

Latin America is the main source of soy oil imports of India. Argentina, as usual, was the #1 global supplier of soy oil with 3.3 billion dollars, followed by Brazil 2.4 bn

 

Chile, the main supplier of copper and other mineral concentrates from the region supplied 1.03 bn, followed by Peru 391 m, Panama 204 m and Brazil 141 m. 

 

Main suppliers of wood from the region: Uruguay 177 m, Ecuador 103 m, Brazil 76 m, Argentina 53 m, Panama 49 m and Costa Rica 25 m. 

 

India was the eighth largest destination for the global exports of Latin America. The region exported more to India than to Germany, UK, Italy and France.

 

 

Trade 2022-23

Figures in millions of US Dollars 

 

Country

exports

imports

Total trade

Brazil

9920

6673

16593

Mexico

5196

3868

9064

Argentina

960

3929

4889

Peru

866

2251

3117

Colombia

1448

2634

4082

Chile

1166

1436

2602

Venezuela

178

253

431

Bolivia

77

2550

2627

Ecuador

400

1016

1416

Dom Republic

330

360

690

Panama

315

283

598

Guatemala

465

21

486

Uruguay

155

199

354

Honduras

273

15

288

Costa Rica

193

61

254

Paraguay

156

20

176

El Salvador

127

2

129

Nicaragua

109

11

120

Cuba

79

5

84

Total 

22413

25587

48000

 

 

Trade from 2010-11 to 2022-23

 

The annual India-Latin America trade in 2022-23 is the highest ever in Indo-Latin American trade.

 

India’s exports had increased from 10.04 billion dollars in the beginning of the decade to 13.7 bn in 2014-15. But the Latin American recession and economic difficulties caused a dip in India’s exports in 2015-16. Since then the exports have increased steadily and in 2021-22 spectacularly.

 

India’s imports reached a peak of 31.38 billion dollars in 2012-13 due to the high crude oil prices and large volume of India’s imports from Venezuela. 

 

 

Year

exports

imports

Total trade

     2022-23

22.41

25.59

48.00

2021-22

18.89

25.62

44.50

2020-21

12.74

14.92

27.66

2019-20

13.18

20.67

33.85

2018-19

13.16

25.7

38.89

2017-18

12.1

24.4

36.45

2016-17

10.4

19.6

30

2015-16

10

19.7

29.7

2014-15

13.7

29.3

43

2013-14

12.77

31.31

44.08

2012-13

12.48

31.38

43.86

2011-12

11.33

18.42

29.75

2010-11

10.04

14.01

24.05

 

 

 

Target - 50 billion dollars

 

Latin America is a substantial market with 19 countries, population of 620 million and GDP of 6 trilion dollars with a per capita income close to 10,000 dollarsThe Indian exporters are still in the early stage of discovery and exploration in the last two decades. In 2022, Latin America’s total imports were 1.4 trillion dollars. The imports from India were just 1.6%. 

 

India could set a target of 50 billion dollars in the next five years. This is easily achievable if the Indian exporters, export promotion councils, industry bodies (such as CII and FICCI) and the government intensify their export promotion seriously and systematically with adequate investment. It is good to see the emphasis on trade and business made by External Affairs Minister Jaishankar during his visit to the region last month. He has visited more countries in Latin America than any of his predecessors.

 

Latin America contributes to India’s energy and food security as well as minerals needed for “ Make in India”. The Lithium Triangle of South America can supply Lithium and other minerals such as Cobalt and Nickel for India’s ambitious Electrification of Vehicles Plan.

 

The Latin Americans seek to reduce their overdependence on China with which there is a huge trust and trade deficit. As part of their diversification strategy, they attach importance to the benign, large and growing market of India. 

 

India should open embassies in Ecuador, Bolivia, Costa Rica, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua and Uruguay which accounted for 1.33 billion dollars of exports.  Opening of embassies in these seven countries can be done with a mere one percent of the total export earnings from these countries. 

 

India should join as member of the Inter-American Development Bank to enable Indian companies to participate in the projects of the Bank. In recent years, Indian companies have started making entry in projects in the region in sectors such as power transmission and renewable energy. For example, Kalpataru Power Transmission Ltd of Mumbai got a single EPC contract of 431 million dollars In Chile. More such contracts will be possible if India becomes member of the InterAmerican Bank.

 

The upcoming India-Latin America Business Conclave to be hosted by CII in August this year should be organized in scale to reflect the growing trade and the large potential for more.